Zinc Pricing - History and Future Perspective

Zinc Pricing – History & Future Perspective
How Much Zinc Is There?
To start this topic, it is important to define a few terms. A
resource
is the concentration of a mineral
that is of economic interest in the earth’s crust. Currently the world’s zinc resource is measured at
approximately 1.9 billion tonnes. A
reserve
is a portion of the resource which has been measured and
which is, or may become in the close future, available for production.
As our ability to economically extract
resources and as our technology improves,
the amount of measured reserves increase.
For instance, in 2006 there were
approximately 220 million tonnes of zinc
reserves measured. As of 2010, there was
approximately 250 million tonnes available.
This increase in zinc reserve is associated with
new exploration, and the creation or
expansion of mines. These activities however
may take several years to develop and are
dependent on the current and forecast zinc price.
Recycling/recovering of zinc continues to be a growing supply source. Currently 4 million tonnes of zinc
are recycled each year. By the 1980’s, the majority of vehicles manufactured in North America were
galvanized for corrosion protection. Since then the number of vehicles being galvanized has almost
tripled. We are only just starting to see these end-of-life vehicles with zinc coated steel entering the
recycling stream. Subsequently the expected amount of recycled zinc should dramatically increase.
How & Where Is Zinc Being Consumed?
The biggest use of zinc in the world is coating steel. It is
approximately 50% of the zinc market. Die casting is the
second largest consumer of zinc at approximately 17%, followed
by zinc metal in alloying (brass), zinc chemicals (fertilizers, skin
products, etc.), and rolled zinc (pennies, etc.). Zinc prices are
therefore very dependent on the industries that use zinc coated
steel such as the automotive and construction.
Another important factor related to pricing of zinc is where zinc
is being consumed. The consumption of zinc in mature economies appears to be leveling off, whereas
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